Predicting Supreme Court Outcomes

From FiveThirtyEight:

Jacob Berlove, 30, of Queens, is the best human Supreme Court predictor in the world. Actually, forget the qualifier. He’s the best Supreme Court predictor in the world.

But you could use this decision tree (there’s one for each justice) if you prefer:


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  • Guest

    The box, “Case from the 4th, 6th, 9th, Federal Circuit?” has 2 “No” arrows coming from it and no “Yes” arrow.

    • Maybe that’s why their prediction model isn’t all that accurate.